The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a warning of above-average temperatures across the country from April to June, with the central and western regions expected to bear the brunt. This announcement comes as the nation gears up for seven-phase general elections starting April 19.
Above-Normal Temperatures Expected
IMD Director General Mrutyunjay Mohapatra indicated that most parts of India are likely to experience higher-than-usual maximum temperatures during the April-June period, with central and western regions facing a particularly high risk.
Regional Temperature Trends
While some areas in the western Himalayan region, northeastern states, and north Odisha may see normal to below-normal maximum temperatures, the plains are expected to endure above-normal heatwave days. Mohapatra warned of 10 to 20 heatwave days in different parts of the country, surpassing the usual four to eight days.
Regions at Risk
Gujarat, central Maharashtra, north Karnataka, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, north Chhattisgarh, and Andhra Pradesh are predicted to bear the worst impact of heatwaves.
April Outlook
April is expected to witness above-normal maximum temperatures across most parts of the country, particularly central and south India. Some relief is anticipated in the western Himalayan region and northeastern states.
Heatwave Forecast
Central India and adjoining areas of the northern plains and south India are likely to experience above-normal heatwave days in April, with two to eight days of heatwaves expected.
No Heatwave Impact on Wheat Crop
Despite the rising temperatures, the IMD assured that the wheat crop, particularly in wheat-producing states like Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh, would remain unaffected. While Madhya Pradesh may experience temperatures reaching up to 42 degrees Celsius, the wheat harvest is mostly complete, minimizing any adverse effects.
Background on Wheat Production
India, the world’s second-largest wheat producer, faced production setbacks in 2022 due to an early heatwave. This prompted the government to ban exports. However, with the majority of wheat harvesting already completed, the current temperature increase is unlikely to affect overall production.
Temperature Trends
Temperatures are projected to rise gradually by 2-3 degrees Celsius over many parts of the country in the next week, with above-normal temperatures expected in north India, the east and west coasts, and near-normal temperatures elsewhere.